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Weekly Bitcoin Technical Analysis — 2026-03-05

2026-03-05

Bitcoin's weekly chart reveals a prolonged downtrend with price currently at $72,540, trading well below all four moving averages. The MA(10) at ~$79k, MA(20) at ~$88k, and MA(30) at ~$95k form a bearish resistance cascade above current price, while the MA(200) at ~$77k sits as immediate overhead resistance. The moving averages are in full bearish alignment with shorter MAs below longer ones, and no golden cross potential exists. Recent weekly candles show consolidation near the $70k-$73k support zone after the steep decline from December's $108k high, with the current week forming a narrow-range bar that suggests indecision.

Volume analysis shows diminishing activity during the recent consolidation, with the latest weeks displaying lower volume than the panic selling period in late 2024. This reduced participation indicates waning downside momentum but lacks the conviction of accumulation. The critical support at $69k (multi-touch floor from the chart) remains intact but untested in the current consolidation, while resistance clusters at $77k-$80k where the MA(200) and MA(10) converge.

The Long-term PPO (21,34,0) remains deeply negative at approximately -7 to -8, far below the zero line and still trending downward, confirming the dominant bearish momentum on longer timeframes. The Short-term PPO (5,13,0) shows a reading near -9 to -10, also deeply negative but beginning to flatten, suggesting the rate of decline is slowing. Neither PPO shows any bullish crossover or positive divergence, keeping the medium-term bias firmly bearish.

Momentum oscillators paint a mixed but predominantly oversold picture. The StochRSI (14) sits in deeply oversold territory below 0.2, attempting to turn upward from extreme lows—a potential early signal of short-term exhaustion. The Full Stochastic shows %K and %D both in the 15-20 range, hovering near oversold (<20) levels with %K beginning to curl upward and approaching a potential bullish crossover above %D. The CCI (20) registers approximately -110 to -120, just below the -100 oversold threshold, and shows initial signs of stabilization after extended weakness. These oscillators collectively signal technical oversold conditions but require follow-through with price confirmation to validate a reversal.