Oscillator Dips to 10.5% as ETF Outflows Pressure Bitcoin
November 9, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
BTC Price
$75K
Model
$145K
Oscillator
10.5%
Weekly Analysis — November 8, 2026
Market Snapshot
- BTC Price: $74,967.72
- Model Price: $145,418.36. Price is 48.4% below the model.
- Oscillator: 10.5%, down 0.7 points from 11.2% last week
- Zone: Deep Buy Zone (0–25%)
- Bands: Floor $61,154 | Lower $102,835 | Model $145,418 | Upper $205,635 | Ceiling $425,699
- Price MAs: EMA(150) $76,509 | SMA(350) $75,721 (bullish since October 26, 2026)
- Oscillator MAs: EMA(150) 14.6% | EMA(350) 20.1% (bearish since November 20, 2025)
Oscillator Reading
The oscillator fell for a second straight week, from 11.2% to 10.5%. That is its lowest reading in recent weeks and puts it deeper into the Deep Buy Zone. Readings this low have historically appeared only once or twice per halving cycle, close to cycle bottoms. Momentum is still bearish: the oscillator's EMA(150) of 14.6% is 5.5 points below its EMA(350) of 20.1%. That gap hasn't changed in three weeks, so the decline is steady but not speeding up. The oscillator crossover has been bearish since November 20, 2025.